Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

NFL · Player Props

Greg Dulcich

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 6:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Greg Dulcich Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+114/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (76.3%) versus TEs this year (76.3%).
The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Denver Broncos O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) to tight ends this year.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.