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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

Greg Dortch's 62.9% Route% this year shows a significant improvement in his air attack workload over last year's 46.4% figure.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Greg Dortch's 76.8% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a significant boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 64.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.5%).

The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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