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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Greg Dortch's 19.0% Target Rate this year shows a material progression in his air attack volume over last year's 9.2% rate.

Greg Dortch's 3.8 adjusted catches per game this season shows a noteworthy progression in his receiving talent over last season's 2.7 mark.

Greg Dortch's 76.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 64.0% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (56.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 7th-best LB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

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