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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • While Greg Dortch has been responsible for 9.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Arizona's passing offense this week at 16.7%.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has been gouged for the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.1%) to WRs this year (67.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.5% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 125.3 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Greg Dortch's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year represents a material decline in his receiving talent over last year's 4.7 rate.
  • Greg Dortch's 64.0% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a meaningful reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 80.2% figure.

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