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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are big -12.5-point underdogs.

The Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (40.8 per game) this year.

While Greg Dortch has earned 8.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Arizona's passing offense in this week's game at 14.2%.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by the projections to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Greg Dortch's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a substantial decline in his receiving talent over last season's 4.7 mark.

Greg Dortch's 54.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks an impressive reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 80.2% rate.

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