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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

The Bears safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year.

Greg Dortch's pass-catching performance worsened this season, accumulating a mere 2.2 adjusted receptions compared to 4.7 last season.

Greg Dortch's 57.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.2% mark.

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