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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

Greg Dortch's 62.9% Route% this year shows a significant improvement in his air attack workload over last year's 46.4% figure.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Greg Dortch's 76.8% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a significant boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 64.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

After accruing 30.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has produced significantly fewer this season, currently averaging 21.0 per game.

The Bears defense has yielded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 127.0) versus WRs this year.

The Bears pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.57 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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