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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

Greg Dortch's 15.2% Target Share this year conveys a significant progression in his air attack usage over last year's 9.2% rate.

Greg Dortch's 77.5% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive improvement in his pass-catching ability over last year's 64.0% rate.

Greg Dortch grades out as one of the leading wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 86th percentile.

The Chargers pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 9.12 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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