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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Greg Dortch's 19.0% Target Rate this year shows a material progression in his air attack volume over last year's 9.2% rate.

Greg Dortch has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (30.0 per game).

Greg Dortch's 76.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 64.0% figure.

This year, the deficient San Francisco 49ers defense has been torched for the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wideouts: a massive 4.78 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (56.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

Greg Dortch's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a measly 5.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.33 mark last year.

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