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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in football.
  • Greg Dortch's 70.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a meaningful boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 64.0% mark.
  • The Commanders defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (182.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Washington's collection of CBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Greg Dortch ranks as one of the least effective receivers in football, averaging just 6.56 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 25th percentile among WRs
  • Greg Dortch's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 4.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.33 figure last year.
  • The Commanders pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.05 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in the league.

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