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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

Greg Dortch's 76.8% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 64.0% rate.

Greg Dortch's 7.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a substantial progression in his efficiency in space over last season's 6.3% rate.

This year, the weak Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded a whopping 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

The Panthers safeties project as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 52.3% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see just 128.1 plays on offense called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.6 per game) this year.

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