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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are big -12.5-point underdogs.

The Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (40.8 per game) this year.

While Greg Dortch has earned 8.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Arizona's passing offense in this week's game at 14.2%.

After averaging 18.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has gotten better this season, currently sitting at 28.0 per game.

Greg Dortch's 9.13 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a meaningful improvement in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.5% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by the projections to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Greg Dortch has accumulated many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (42.0).

Greg Dortch's 54.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks an impressive reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 80.2% rate.

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