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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Greg Dortch Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • After accumulating 18.0 air yards per game last season, Greg Dortch has undergone big improvement this season, currently boasting 25.0 per game.
  • Greg Dortch's skills in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, compiling 7.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 4.50 figure last year.
  • The Bears safeties profile as the worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
  • Greg Dortch has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (42.0).
  • Greg Dortch's 57.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.2% mark.

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