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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

Greg Dortch Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+390/-819).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -433 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -819.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Greg Dortch to be much more involved in his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (15.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).

Greg Dortch's 36.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 2.3.

Greg Dortch has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing an impressive 86.2% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 95th percentile among wide receivers.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (70.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.

Greg Dortch has totaled a measly 14.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 22nd percentile among WRs.

The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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