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Greg Dortch

Greg Dortch Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Greg Dortch Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+314/-572).

  • The Cardinals are a heavy 10-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Greg Dortch to be a more important option in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (12.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.5% in games he has played).

  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
  • Greg Dortch has notched a puny 13.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 23rd percentile among wideouts.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in football. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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