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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.3 plays per game.
  • With a terrific 3.0 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Gerald Everett stands among the leading pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.
  • As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Gerald Everett's 40.8% Route% this year represents a noteworthy diminishment in his pass game workload over last year's 56.1% figure.
  • The Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Gerald Everett's 61.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys a noteable decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 71.8% mark.

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