Gerald Everett Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to accrue 6.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 62.3%.

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