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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 5.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are projected by the predictive model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Gerald Everett to notch 4.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among tight ends.

Gerald Everett's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 69.2% to 82.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Gerald Everett has compiled far fewer air yards this year (12.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

With a RATE1-RATE2 point diminishment in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) from last year to this one, Gerald Everett has been relied on much less in his offense's pass game.

Gerald Everett's 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a a material diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 37.0 figure.

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