Gerald Everett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 17, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 63.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
This week, Gerald Everett is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among TEs with 4.6 targets.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive scheme to tilt 2.2% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
Gerald Everett's 47.5% Route Participation% this season marks a a material regression in his air attack workload over last season's 59.4% rate.
Gerald Everett has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (10.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).
Gerald Everett has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (37.0).

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