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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to have 130.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Gerald Everett to total 4.5 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.
  • Gerald Everett's 84.2% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteable boost in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 69.2% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offense to tilt 2.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • After accruing 31.0 air yards per game last year, Gerald Everett has significantly declined this year, currently sitting at 12.0 per game.
  • Gerald Everett's 19.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 28.2.
  • Gerald Everett has accrued many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this year than he did last year (37.0).

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