Gerald Everett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-101/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 67.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.40 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

Gerald Everett has been used less as a potential target this year (60.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (71.0%).
Gerald Everett's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.2% to 68.3%.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.
The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

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