Gerald Everett Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Gerald Everett

NFL · Player Props

Gerald Everett

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 27, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+301/-536).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -525 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -536.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Gerald Everett has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.4% this year, which puts him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

Gerald Everett's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 64.3%.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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