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Gerald Everett

Gerald Everett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Gerald Everett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+298/-527).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -488 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -527.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a giant 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.

Gerald Everett has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.5% this year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among TEs.

Gerald Everett has totaled many more air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (22.0 per game).

Gerald Everett's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 27.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

Gerald Everett's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.2% to 63.3%.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (67.3%) to tight ends this year (67.3%).

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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