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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • With an extraordinary 93.8% Route Participation% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens stands as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to accumulate 6.2 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • George Pickens profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.7 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • The Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.5%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (62.5%).

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