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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league (in a neutral context) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season, averaging 27.54 seconds per snap.

With an extraordinary 94.3% Route% (94th percentile) since the start of last season, George Pickens ranks as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.

The leading projections forecast George Pickens to earn 6.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

George Pickens checks in as one of the best wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 3.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.1%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (68.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Pittsburgh O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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