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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to accumulate 8.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.

George Pickens's 72.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 62.5.

George Pickens comes in as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an excellent 4.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

This year, the daunting Browns defense has conceded a feeble 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the smallest rate in football.

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