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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 137.5 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a whopping 61.4 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast George Pickens to garner 7.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

George Pickens's 77.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 62.5.

George Pickens's 4.7 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.7 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 44.1% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being projected in this game) typically cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) this year.

The Browns pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (57.6%) to wide receivers this year (57.6%).

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