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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.

In this game, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 7.5 targets.

George Pickens's 74.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 62.5.

George Pickens ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 4.3 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

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