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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an impressive 95.1% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) last year, George Pickens places as one of the wideouts with the most usage in football.

In this contest, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.

With an impressive 4.0 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) last year, George Pickens rates as one of the best wide receivers in the league in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 52.8% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The Steelers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.9%) versus WRs last year (60.9%).

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