George Pickens Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
This week, George Pickens is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile among WRs with 7.2 targets.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point rise in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, George Pickens has been more prominently relied on in his offense's passing attack.
George Pickens's pass-catching performance gotten a boost this season, totaling 4.3 adjusted catches vs a mere 3.1 last season.

Favors Under

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
The Steelers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
George Pickens's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 62.5% to 55.2%.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (51.9%) to wide receivers this year (51.9%).

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