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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers will be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Steelers, who are big -10-point underdogs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Steelers to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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