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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: most in the league.

Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to garner 6.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

George Pickens's 62.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 44.8.

George Pickens has been one of the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 4.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.31 seconds per snap.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Ravens pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59%) versus wideouts this year (59.0%).

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