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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

In this week's game, George Pickens is expected by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.6 targets.

George Pickens's 60.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 44.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

George Pickens's 59.4% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a material decline in his receiving talent over last year's 62.5% rate.

More George Pickens Player Props

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