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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

In this week's game, George Pickens is predicted by the model to find himself in the 76th percentile among WRs with 6.6 targets.

George Pickens's 62.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 44.8.

The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

George Pickens's 56.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 62.5% rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.7%) vs. WRs this year (60.7%).

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