George Pickens Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.0 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
In this game, George Pickens is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile among WRs with 6.4 targets.
George Pickens's 63.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 44.8.

Favors Under

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
George Pickens's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 62.5% to 53.7%.
The Browns pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (52.9%) to WRs this year (52.9%).

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