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George Pickens

George Pickens Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • The predictive model expects George Pickens to total 6.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point surge in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, George Pickens has been more heavily relied on in his offense's pass attack.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.1 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • George Pickens's 52.3% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a noteworthy regression in his receiving talent over last year's 62.5% mark.

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