George Pickens Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+144/-186).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
George Pickens has run a route on 90.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to garner 6.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in the NFL (71.5%) versus wideouts this year (71.5%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on a mere 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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