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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Giants

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, George Pickens is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.6 targets.

After averaging 89.0 air yards per game last year, George Pickens has been rising this year, currently sitting at 98.0 per game.

George Pickens's 80.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 62.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 49.0% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

George Pickens's talent in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this season, totaling just 1.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.94 rate last season.

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