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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.
  • This week, George Pickens is projected by the model to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets.
  • George Pickens has put up a colossal 88.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • George Pickens's 75.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 62.5.
  • With an outstanding 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (79th percentile) this year, George Pickens has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.
  • George Pickens's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging just 8.03 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.48 rate last year.
  • George Pickens's 1.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a substantial decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.9% rate.

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