My Account Log Out

reorder

George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Steelers are big underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 130.5 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

The Ravens defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (37.4 per game) this year.

In this week's game, George Pickens is expected by the projections to land in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 57.4% pass rate.

George Pickens grades out as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching a mere 59.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among wide receivers

George Pickens's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating just 2.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.94 rate last year.

The Ravens pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

The Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More George Pickens Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™