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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 139.6 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect George Pickens to accumulate 8.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • George Pickens has posted significantly more air yards this season (100.0 per game) than he did last season (89.0 per game).
  • George Pickens's 72.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 62.5.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 50.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) usually cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • George Pickens's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, notching just 2.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.94 mark last season.

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