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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projection model to run 65.5 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an impressive 95.1% Route Participation Rate (97th percentile) last year, George Pickens places as one of the wideouts with the most usage in football.

In this contest, George Pickens is expected by the predictive model to finish in the 79th percentile among WRs with 6.9 targets.

George Pickens has accrued a monstrous 86.0 air yards per game last year: 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 52.8% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football last year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The Steelers O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Last year, the strong Falcons defense has given up a meager 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-fewest in football.

Last year, the daunting Atlanta Falcons defense has allowed the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 7.4 yards.

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