George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
This week, George Pickens is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile among WRs with 7.2 targets.
After averaging 78.0 air yards per game last season, George Pickens has been rising this season, currently averaging 106.0 per game.
With a RATE1-RATE2 point rise in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) from last year to this one, George Pickens has been more prominently relied on in his offense's passing attack.

Favors Under

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
The Steelers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
George Pickens's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 62.5% to 55.2%.
George Pickens profiles as one of the weakest WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (51.9%) to wide receivers this year (51.9%).

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