George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
In this week's game, George Pickens is predicted by the model to find himself in the 76th percentile among WRs with 6.6 targets.
George Pickens has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (90.0 per game) than he did last season (78.0 per game).
George Pickens's 62.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 44.8.
George Pickens has totaled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
George Pickens's 56.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 62.5% rate.
With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, George Pickens rates among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league in the open field.

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