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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • In this week's game, George Pickens is predicted by the model to find himself in the 76th percentile among WRs with 6.6 targets.
  • George Pickens has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (90.0 per game) than he did last season (78.0 per game).
  • George Pickens's 62.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 44.8.
  • George Pickens has totaled a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (58.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • George Pickens's 56.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material regression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 62.5% rate.
  • With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, George Pickens rates among the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league in the open field.

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