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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
  • In this game, George Pickens is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile among WRs with 6.4 targets.
  • After accumulating 78.0 air yards per game last year, George Pickens has seen a big uptick this year, currently pacing 93.0 per game.
  • George Pickens's 63.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 44.8.
  • George Pickens has accrued significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (60.0) this season than he did last season (48.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • George Pickens's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 62.5% to 53.7%.
  • George Pickens ranks as one of the weakest wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.

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