George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
George Pickens has run a route on 87.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

George Pickens has been among the bottom WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (54.7%) vs. wideouts this year (54.7%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 6.26 yards-per-target to the position: the least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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