George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:10 PM EST

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-119/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Completion% in football (68.3%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.3%).
The New York Jets pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against WRs since the start of last season, yielding 9.24 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
George Pickens has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, hauling in just 38.4% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 5th percentile among WRs
George Pickens has been among the least effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 5.05 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 6th percentile among wide receivers
The New York Jets pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.15 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-least in the league.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.