George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 29, 2022 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
George Pickens has run a route on 89.6% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to accrue 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among WRs.
George Pickens has put up a monstrous 84.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
George Pickens has been among the weakest WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 104.0) vs. WRs this year.

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