George Pickens Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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George Pickens

NFL · Player Props

George Pickens

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

George Pickens Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
George Pickens has run a route on 89.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects George Pickens to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
George Pickens has been among the worst WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 142.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.48 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the league.

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