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George Pickens

George Pickens Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers

George Pickens Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+276/-474).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +317 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +276.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a heavy 11.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

George Pickens has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 15.8% this year, which ranks him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the lowest Completion% in the NFL (55.5%) to WRs this year (55.5%).

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has given their QB just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized play action on a mere 18.5% of their passing plays since the start of last season (3rd-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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